TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 11:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether UTSA will win its college football game against South Florida. Currently, Kalshi gives UTSA a 99.0% probability of winning, while South Florida is at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the South Florida vs UTSA game originally scheduled for October 8, 2026, as reported by the game’s official result. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if UTSA wins the contest scheduled for October 8, 2026, and will resolve to No if South Florida wins.
The market resolves to Yes for the specified team if they win the game as scheduled. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market stays open and resolves based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, which can differ from sportsbook odds that are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, while this market relies purely on individuals' willingness to buy or sell contracts representing different outcomes. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market, as prediction markets can sometimes identify mispricings more quickly. Analyzing these differences can be insightful for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders for contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's current probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the volume of contracts available at various price points, indicating the strength of conviction behind different predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the South Florida vs UTSA game, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. It's important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand the potential impact of any late-breaking news or developments.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected upsets in other games involving these teams, or significant changes in public perception based on media coverage, could also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could indicate a shift in sentiment and trigger further price movement. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding the evolving dynamics of this market.