TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
East Carolina wins by over 1.5 points
- Kalshi
East Carolina wins by over 1.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 6, 2026
Time left: 04d:03h:09m
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This set of markets tracks the point differential in a college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively either team might win. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold, enabling a range of betting options based on expected performance.
The markets resolve based on the official point differential from the South Florida vs East Carolina college football game scheduled for November 6, 2026. For markets predicting South Florida wins, resolution occurs if the victory exceeds specified point margins ranging from 1.5 to 16.5 points. Conversely, markets for East Carolina wins resolve if their win exceeds margins from 1.5 to 16.5 points. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve per the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing uncertainties.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Examining these differences can provide insights into public perception versus professional analysis, and potentially identify value in either the prediction market or sportsbook.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe South Florida will win by a certain margin, the price of contracts reflecting that outcome will increase. Conversely, if sentiment shifts towards East Carolina, those contracts will become cheaper. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the South Florida vs East Carolina game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game, could also shift expectations. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also play a role. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and influence the price, reflecting a sudden shift in market sentiment.