A men's college basketball game between the University of South Florida Bulls and Florida Atlantic University Owls scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets cover the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes, and total points scored.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket apply identical core logic: resolve on final score including overtime, remain open if postponed, and resolve 50-50 if canceled without makeup. All derivative markets (spread, totals) use the same final score as the settlement value.
Primary resolution logic:
NCAA official box score and final game result as recorded at ncaa.com
Core resolution logic:
Moneyline: South Florida Bulls wins if they score more points than Florida Atlantic Owls; Florida Atlantic Owls wins if they score more points than South Florida Bulls
Spread (-4.5): South Florida Bulls wins if they win by 5 or more points; Florida Atlantic Owls wins otherwise
Spread (-5.5): South Florida Bulls wins if they win by 6 or more points; Florida Atlantic Owls wins otherwise
Total Over/Under 166.5: Over if combined score is 167 or more; Under if combined score is 166 or less
Total Over/Under 165.5: Over if combined score is 166 or more; Under if combined score is 165 or less
All resolutions include overtime periods in the final score calculation
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Game Postponement: If the game is postponed to a later date, all markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed on its new date
Game Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50 (split pool equally between Yes and No outcomes)
Overtime: All final scores include any overtime periods played; the market resolves on the true final score, not regulation score
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the final buzzer of the game on February 15, 2026, once the official NCAA box score is available and confirmed
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
World Cup Winner
Will the Spain win the 2026 Men's World Cup?16%
2026 NBA Champion
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?63%
English Premier League Winner
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?100%
Finals Series Winner: New York vs San Antonio
Will the New York win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?63%
2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion
Will Nikolaj Ehlers record the most goals in the Stanley Cup Finals® of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?85%
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.