TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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South East Melbourne Phoenix vs. Tasmania JackJumpers
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of South East Melbourne Phoenix vs. Tasmania JackJumpers?

Volume:
$137,262

Tasmania JackJumpers

 - Kalshi

Tasmania JackJumpers - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 1:07 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tasmania JackJumpers

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$51,071
N/A
N/A
$28,476
Settled
Yes
polymarket

South East Melbourne Phoenix vs. Tasmania JackJumpers

View
0%
63%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47,337
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 21h 58m
No
kalshi

SE Melbourne Phoenix

View
0%
67%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,747
N/A
N/A
$15,305
Settled
No
polymarket

South East Melbourne Phoenix (-4.5)

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,672
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 190.5

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,435
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This prediction group concerns the outcome of a National Basketball League (NBL) game between the South East Melbourne Phoenix and the Tasmania JackJumpers. The market resolves to either the Phoenix winning or the JackJumpers winning, with provisions for postponed or cancelled games.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The Kalshi market refers to a game scheduled for November 1, 2026, while Polymarket refers to a game scheduled for November 1, 2024. This is a significant date discrepancy, making the markets refer to different events.Hero tip: Do not trade these markets as if they are related. The Kalshi market is for a future game, while Polymarket is for a current game. The markets are fundamentally different and should be treated as such.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the winner of the NBL game scheduled for November 1, 2024, at 12:00 AM ET. If postponed, market remains open. If canceled, resolves 50-50. "In the upcoming NBL game, scheduled for November 1 at 12:00AM ET..."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if SE Melbourne Phoenix wins the game originally scheduled for November 1, 2026, at 12:00 AM EDT, or 'Yes' if Tasmania JackJumpers wins. "...originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM EDT..."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NBL game, scheduled for November 1 at 12:00AM ET: If the South East Melbourne Phoenix win, the market will resolve to "South East Melbourne Phoenix". If the Tasmania JackJumpers win, the market will resolve to "Tasmania JackJumpers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

If SE Melbourne Phoenix wins the Tasmania JackJumpers vs SE Melbourne Phoenix men's professional Australia NBL basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tasmania JackJumpers wins the Tasmania JackJumpers vs SE Melbourne Phoenix men's professional Australia NBL basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes in the NBL championship race between South East Melbourne Phoenix and Tasmania JackJumpers. Currently, Polymarket shows a consensus view with a chance of 58.5 percent, while Kalshi has yet to establish significant volume. The aggregated data provides a real-time view of where the crowd believes the most likely winner will be. Total volume across both platforms is $137,262, with $137,425 traded in the last 24 hours, indicating growing interest in this contest.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information and adjust prices faster than sportsbooks in response to new developments, though both aim to accurately forecast the eventual result.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can differ due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and fee structure, all of which can influence price discovery. Polymarket currently favors South East Melbourne Phoenix vs. Tasmania JackJumpers at 58.5 percent, while Kalshi leans toward Tasmania JackJumpers wins at n/a. Differences in liquidity – the amount of volume traded – can also cause price discrepancies. Furthermore, differing risk appetites and information access among traders on each platform contribute to the variance observed in this market.