TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
In the upcoming NBL game, scheduled for October 10 at 4:30AM ET: If the South East Melbourne Phoenix win, the market will resolve to "South East Melbourne Phoenix". If the Melbourne United win, the market will resolve to "Melbourne United". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming NBL game, scheduled for October 10 at 4:30AM ET: If the South East Melbourne Phoenix win, the market will resolve to "South East Melbourne Phoenix". If the Melbourne United win, the market will resolve to "Melbourne United". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is influenced by the collective intelligence of those trading on the outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the South East Melbourne Phoenix vs. Melbourne United game, as reported by official league sources. The market will determine which team is declared the winner of the game, and that outcome will be used to settle all outstanding shares. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when and how this market will be settled.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching strategies could shift expectations. Unexpected performance in recent games, or even significant media coverage impacting public perception, could also drive trading activity. Furthermore, any developments related to the overall competitive landscape of the NBL championship race might cause traders to reassess their probabilities, leading to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential shifts in this market.