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408,027

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4,369

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5

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South East Melbourne Phoenix vs. Illawarra Hawks
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of South East Melbourne Phoenix vs. Illawarra Hawks?

Volume:
$71,093

SE Melbourne Phoenix

 - Kalshi

SE Melbourne Phoenix - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 11:32 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

SE Melbourne Phoenix

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$26,117
N/A
N/A
$11,689
Settled
Yes
polymarket

South East Melbourne Phoenix vs. Illawarra Hawks

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22,032
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 189.5

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$999
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Illawarra Hawks

View
0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,924
N/A
N/A
$14,930
Settled
No
polymarket

Illawarra Hawks (-2.5)

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This prediction group concerns the outcome of a National Basketball League (NBL) game between the South East Melbourne Phoenix and the Illawarra Hawks. The market resolves to the winning team, with a 50-50 split if the game is canceled without a reschedule.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The two platforms reference different dates for the same game, creating a significant discrepancy in the event being predicted.Hero tip: Avoid trading the Kalshi market until the date discrepancy is resolved. Focus on Polymarket if you intend to trade the current game.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: The market resolves based on the outcome of the game scheduled for October 4th, 2024. "In the upcoming NBL game, scheduled for October 4 at 12:00AM ET..."
  • Kalshi: The market resolves based on the outcome of the game scheduled for October 4th, 2026. "...originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM EDT..."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NBL game, scheduled for October 4 at 12:00AM ET: If the South East Melbourne Phoenix win, the market will resolve to "South East Melbourne Phoenix". If the Illawarra Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Illawarra Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The market resolves according to the official outcome of the men's professional Australia NBL basketball game between the Illawarra Hawks and SE Melbourne Phoenix, scheduled for October 4, 2026, at 12:00 AM EDT. If SE Melbourne Phoenix wins, that market resolves to Yes; if Illawarra Hawks wins, its market resolves to Yes. Postponements within 48 hours of the original start time keep markets open for resolution based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies it is not officially affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the NBL game between Phoenix and Hawks. Currently, there's a consensus view forming around the likely winner, though opinions diverge between the two platforms. Total volume across both venues is $71,093, with $70,953 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows you to see how other users are predicting the result and compare that to your own assessment of the game. The dashboard aggregates data from both Polymarket and Kalshi to provide a comprehensive overview of the market.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on both sides, while prediction markets incentivize accurate predictions directly. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. While sportsbooks may incorporate subjective factors, this market tends to be driven by information and analysis from a wider range of participants, potentially leading to more efficient price discovery.