TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:00 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming college football game between South Dakota and South Dakota State, scheduled for October 31 at 4:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "South Dakota" if South Dakota win the game. This market will resolve to "South Dakota State" if South Dakota State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between South Dakota and South Dakota State, scheduled for October 31 at 4:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "South Dakota" if South Dakota win the game. This market will resolve to "South Dakota State" if South Dakota State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin for the house. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective wisdom of traders, theoretically resulting in more accurate probabilities. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, prediction markets can quickly adjust to new information and unforeseen circumstances. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly as the event approaches and more information becomes available. Keep in mind that both represent different forms of forecasting.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a particular outcome. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the event’s potential results. The market efficiently aggregates diverse opinions and insights, offering a unique perspective on the South Dakota college football rivalry. The aim is to create a probability distribution that accurately reflects the true likelihood of each possible result.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the South Dakota versus South Dakota State football game. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Predict once the event has concluded and the results have been verified. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome, based on the actual results of the game.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any significant news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting game conditions could also play a role. Public sentiment, reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also influence trader behavior. Major upsets in other college football games involving similar teams might also prompt reassessments of probabilities. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ relative strengths could lead to movement in this market before Oct 31, 2026.