TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many touchdowns are scored through receptions by each team in an upcoming college football matchup. The outcomes depend solely on whether specified players achieve certain thresholds of receiving touchdowns during the game.
All markets resolve based on the official number of receiving touchdowns scored by each team in the South Carolina vs Oklahoma college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. A receiving touchdown is counted only when a player catches the ball and scores in the end zone themselves; touchdowns scored by other players after recovering a fumble by the original receiver do not count, unless the receiver recovers their own fumble and scores. Touchdowns scored during overtime count toward the total, but successful two-point conversions—whether in regulation or overtime—do not count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original scheduled time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks often set lines to encourage balanced betting, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the probability of touchdowns being scored. While sportsbooks may initially offer odds based on statistical models, this market can quickly incorporate new information, such as injury reports or weather forecasts, leading to potentially more accurate predictions as the event approaches. It's a fascinating comparison of different forecasting methods.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards what the market deems to be the fair value. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates how much it costs to take a position on a team scoring a touchdown, and it fluctuates based on supply and demand. The higher the price, the lower the implied probability, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether each team actually receives at least one touchdown during the South Carolina vs Oklahoma game. Official game statistics will be used to determine if a touchdown was scored by each team. The market will then settle based on whether the actual outcome matches the contracts purchased by traders. It’s important to monitor the game and official results leading up to and following the event to understand the final determination.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the South Carolina or Oklahoma teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also influence predictions about scoring potential. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, any significant public analysis or expert opinions released leading up to the game could sway trader sentiment and affect the prices in this market.