TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 8:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether South Carolina will win their college football game against Oklahoma by more than 14.5 points. Currently, the probability of South Carolina winning by over 14.5 points on Kalshi is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the South Carolina vs Oklahoma game, with resolution determined if Oklahoma wins by more than 13.5 points as per the stated resolution source. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves following the completion of the originally scheduled fixture on Oct 31, 2026, with a final resolution date estimate of 2026-11-01.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the South Carolina vs Oklahoma college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. If Oklahoma wins by the exact margin specified in a market's title, that market resolves as 'No.' For markets where South Carolina is the titled winner, the inverse logic applies. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these contingency conditions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s price is driven purely by individuals willing to buy or sell contracts based on their own predictions. If a significant number of traders believe the spread will be different than what sportsbooks suggest, the price here will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts closer to the event date.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a specific outcome – in this case, whether the actual spread will be above or below the listed value. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is a direct result of supply and demand; high demand pushes prices up, while increased selling pressure lowers them.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result reported by the governing body of college football. Once the official result is available, Kalshi will verify the outcome against this source and settle all contracts accordingly. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding injuries to key players on either the South Carolina or Oklahoma teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Furthermore, any major shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or updated betting trends, could lead to increased trading volume and price adjustments. Unexpected coaching decisions or team strategy announcements could also play a role in shifting market sentiment.