TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 4:45 PM EST
Kalshi
In the college football matchup between South Carolina and Oklahoma, the opening score can dramatically shift momentum. The contest will feature both teams aiming to capitalize on early opportunities, with the first touchdown serving as a key indicator of potential game control.
The market resolves based on which team scores the first touchdown in the South Carolina vs Oklahoma college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026, including touchdowns scored in overtime periods. All types of touchdowns—offensive, defensive, and special teams—are counted toward resolution. If neither team scores a touchdown during the entire game, including overtime, the "No team" market resolves to Yes. Postponements that commence within 48 hours of the original start time are resolved using the final official result; games not starting within 48 hours resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade contracts, potentially incorporating a wider range of information and perspectives. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. However, as the event approaches, the prices on Kalshi often converge with sportsbook odds, as both attempt to accurately reflect the probability of each outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. Each contract represents a specific outcome – in this case, either South Carolina or Oklahoma being the first to score a touchdown. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in their chances. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first touchdown in the South Carolina vs Oklahoma game. The official game results will be used to determine the winning contract. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available and verifiable information to ensure a fair and accurate outcome for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. News regarding key player injuries for either South Carolina or Oklahoma would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected, could also shift trader sentiment. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also cause movement. Finally, any significant public betting activity in sportsbooks could influence trading behavior on Kalshi, as traders attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings or discrepancies.