TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 8:17 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how decisively either South Carolina or Oklahoma wins the final quarter of their college football matchup. Each outcome represents a different margin of victory needed in the fourth quarter alone to satisfy the condition.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the fourth quarter of play (excluding overtime) in the South Carolina vs Oklahoma college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. For markets where Oklahoma must win by a specified margin, resolution occurs only if Oklahoma achieves that margin of victory within the fourth quarter. Conversely, markets requiring South Carolina to win by a set margin resolve if South Carolina meets or exceeds that margin in the fourth quarter. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential conditions outlined in each market.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which are often set by experts. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception and marketing strategies into their odds, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges or as public sentiment shifts, offering a distinct perspective on the likely result. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular spread, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the volume of contracts available at various price points, providing insight into potential price movements and liquidity.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread achieved in the fourth quarter of the South Carolina vs Oklahoma game will determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the South Carolina or Oklahoma teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first three quarters, even if not directly indicative of the fourth quarter spread, can influence how traders adjust their positions. Overall game momentum and public perception of each team’s chances will play a role in shaping the price of contracts.