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411,051
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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Kalshi:
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Closed: Oct 31, 6:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the third quarter of a college football game between South Carolina and Oklahoma. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold that must be exceeded by either team during that quarter to determine the outcome.
These markets resolve based on the point differential achieved by either South Carolina or Oklahoma exclusively during the third quarter of their college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold, ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points, which must be surpassed by the winning team in that quarter for the market to resolve as 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, the markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing uncertainties.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe South Carolina is more likely to cover the spread than sportsbooks suggest, the price for that outcome will rise here. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before major events, as new information emerges and opinions evolve.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price moves based on supply and demand; if more people want to buy contracts predicting South Carolina will cover the spread, the price goes up, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 3rd quarter of the South Carolina vs Oklahoma game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect whether South Carolina won the 3rd quarter by more than 3.5 points, as determined by the official game results. The platform will then settle all outstanding contracts based on the verified outcome, paying out to those who correctly predicted the result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the South Carolina or Oklahoma teams would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they could affect the game's style of play, could also shift the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, or even public sentiment expressed on social media, could influence traders on Kalshi and cause the price to fluctuate as they adjust their predictions.