TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 6:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the combined scoring performance of both teams in a specific quarter of a college football game. It focuses solely on the points accumulated during the second quarter, providing insight into scoring trends without considering the full game outcome.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the second quarter of the designated college football game. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined score exceeds the stated threshold (e.g., 2.5, 5.5, up to 27.5 points), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Postponements are accounted for—if the game starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result is based on the official score. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the second quarter count toward resolution.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the dynamic nature of trading. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s odds are continuously adjusted by traders reacting to new information and their own insights. It’s common to see prediction markets move closer to the actual outcome as the event approaches, potentially offering a more accurate probability assessment than traditional betting lines. However, discrepancies can exist due to differing risk appetites and market participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total points scored in the second quarter of the South Carolina vs Oklahoma game. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a consensus view. The current price reflects the collective expectation of all participants, making it a valuable indicator of potential game dynamics and scoring projections. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total points scored in the second quarter of the South Carolina vs Oklahoma game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics, ensuring an objective determination. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total points scored will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment. This resolution process guarantees a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to and during the game. Any news regarding key player injuries for either South Carolina or Oklahoma would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor either a passing or running game, could also impact expectations. In-game events, such as early scoring drives or defensive stops, will rapidly shift the probabilities reflected in the market. Public sentiment and late-breaking analysis from sports commentators could also contribute to price fluctuations as traders adjust their positions.