TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 6:03 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the point differential in the second quarter of a college football game between South Carolina and Oklahoma. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold, resolving based on whether the winning team exceeds that margin during the specified quarter.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of play in the South Carolina vs Oklahoma college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the winning team achieves a point differential exceeding the specified threshold for that market during that quarter. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. No affiliation or endorsement exists between the markets and the NCAA; all trademarks and logos belong to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when public opinion strongly favors one outcome. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can provide a broader understanding of potential game outcomes and highlight areas where the crowd diverges from professional analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the second quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, as profitable trades are rewarded. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular spread is likely, the higher the price of contracts representing that spread will climb, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the second quarter of the South Carolina vs Oklahoma game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. News regarding player injuries to key players on either the South Carolina or Oklahoma teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected during the game, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, any late-breaking news related to team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment and cause the market to react. Public perception, as reflected in polls and expert analysis, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.