TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will lead after the first quarter of a college football game between South Carolina and Oklahoma. It reflects the competitive dynamics of the early game stages, where momentum can shift rapidly. The outcome depends solely on the scoring during the initial 15 minutes of play.
If Oklahoma wins the 1st quarter of the South Carolina vs Oklahoma college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If South Carolina wins the 1st quarter of the South Carolina vs Oklahoma college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st quarter of the South Carolina vs Oklahoma college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely than a sportsbook suggests, the price will move accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant news or events impact perceptions of the game's likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, each team winning the first quarter, or a tie. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the game’s potential first-quarter winner, creating a dynamic and real-time forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team, if any, has the highest score at the end of the first quarter of the South Carolina vs Oklahoma game. Any ties will also be reflected in the market’s resolution. The official game results will be used to determine the winning outcome and finalize settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the South Carolina or Oklahoma teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to affect the game's conditions, could also shift the odds. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment as reflected in polls or analysis, could all contribute to movement in this market.