TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first quarter of a college football game between South Carolina and Oklahoma. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory for either team within that initial 15-minute segment.
These markets resolve based on the point differential in the first quarter of the South Carolina vs Oklahoma college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. For any market, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins by more than the indicated point margin during that quarter alone. All markets exclusively consider points scored in the first quarter; points from later quarters are irrelevant. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the actual first-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing or circumstances.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which are often set by experts. Sportsbooks establish odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s initial assessment is incorrect, the price here will move accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news related to the game. Comparing these odds can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the first quarter spread. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, causing the prices to fluctuate. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will be. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the first quarter spread in the South Carolina vs Oklahoma game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the South Carolina or Oklahoma teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game's style of play, could also shift the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also play a role. Finally, any large-volume trades on Kalshi could indicate informed activity and lead to price fluctuations.