TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 6:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first half of a college football game between South Carolina and Oklahoma. Each market corresponds to a specific margin by which either team could win in the first half, allowing participants to bet on various possible outcomes.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the South Carolina vs Oklahoma college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team wins by more than the stated point margin in that half. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on unique information or perspectives held by traders. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows individuals to express their own beliefs and potentially identify mispricings. It’s common to see initial discrepancies that narrow as the event approaches, as both markets incorporate new information. However, the dynamics of each are different, leading to potential, and sometimes significant, differences in implied probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the South Carolina vs Oklahoma spread. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices efficiently, as they can profit from correctly anticipating the event’s outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the latest consensus view, creating a dynamic and informative market.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the first half result of the South Carolina vs Oklahoma game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official game statistics, and the contracts will pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the ranges offered on Kalshi. The resolution process ensures a clear and objective determination of the winning outcome, based on publicly available and verifiable data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the South Carolina or Oklahoma teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might influence trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi themselves can cause price movements, as they signal strong conviction from market participants.