TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 2:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many touchdowns are scored by players catching passes during an upcoming college football game. Each market focuses on a specific threshold of such scoring plays for either team. The outcomes depend purely on the game's offensive performance through the air.
All markets resolve based on the official number of receiving touchdowns scored by either South Carolina or Florida in their game scheduled for October 10, 2026, including any overtime periods. A receiving touchdown is defined as one where the player who catches the pass crosses the goal line with the ball. Touchdowns resulting from fumble recoveries by another player do not count, unless the original receiving player recovers their own fumble and scores. Successful two-point conversions are excluded from all counts. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original kickoff time, it remains active for resolution. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve at a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA or ownership of associated trademarks.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own beliefs. If a large number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring. For example, a price of 60 means a contract costs 60 dollars, and implies a 60% probability of the event happening. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, which dynamically updates the market price. The goal is to accurately reflect the collective prediction of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether either the South Carolina or Florida team scores two or more receiving touchdowns during the game. Official game statistics will be used to determine the number of receiving touchdowns scored by each team. The market will then settle based on whether the condition of 2+ touchdowns was met by either team.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the South Carolina or Florida teams, particularly wide receivers or quarterbacks, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they suggest conditions unfavorable for passing, could also shift the odds. Additionally, any updates on team strategies or offensive play-calling tendencies could cause traders to reassess the probability of either team achieving two or more receiving touchdowns.