TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 4:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether South Carolina will win their college football game against Florida by more than 2.5 points. Currently, the probability of South Carolina winning by over 2.5 points on Kalshi is 91.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the South Carolina vs Florida college football game originally scheduled for October 10, 2026, specifically if Florida wins by more than 35.5 points. Keep a close watch on the game itself on October 10, 2026, as the final score will determine the market’s resolution.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the South Carolina vs Florida college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. If Florida wins by a margin exceeding the specified threshold in any of the markets labeled 'Florida wins by over X.X points,' that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Conversely, if South Carolina wins by a margin exceeding the specified threshold in any of the markets labeled 'South Carolina wins by over X.X points,' that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. For games postponed but commencing within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these contingency conditions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can often differ from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the game's outcome. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – both prediction market prices and sportsbook odds will adjust. It’s common to see this market converge with sportsbook odds as the event approaches, but discrepancies can still emerge based on differing information or perspectives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability that the actual spread will fall on that side. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more a particular spread is bought, the higher its price rises, indicating increased confidence in that outcome. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price, suggesting traders believe that spread is less likely to occur.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the South Carolina vs Florida game, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will settle to 100 if the actual spread falls on the 'South Carolina favored by...' side, or to 0 if it falls on the 'Florida favored by...' side, with continuous values in between based on the precise final spread.
Several factors could significantly impact the price of this market. Major news regarding player injuries to key players on either South Carolina or Florida would likely cause substantial movement. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected weather forecasts could also influence trader sentiment. Public perception shifts, driven by media coverage or expert analysis, can also play a role. Finally, any significant betting activity – large buy or sell orders – on Kalshi itself can create price fluctuations as traders react to the changing dynamics.