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Closed: Oct 10, 4:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the final quarter of a college football game between South Carolina and Florida. It highlights the importance of end-game strategies and momentum shifts that can occur in the last period of play. The outcome depends solely on 4th quarter performance, not the overall game result.
If Florida wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the South Carolina vs Florida college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If South Carolina wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the South Carolina vs Florida college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the South Carolina vs Florida college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s odds are driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell based on their own analysis. You may find that this market’s implied probabilities diverge from sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's common to see discrepancies, as sportsbooks incorporate a profit margin, while this market aims to represent the true perceived probability of each outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, which team will win the 4th quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of each team winning. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the available contracts at different price points, indicating the level of buying and selling interest.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team of the 4th quarter of the South Carolina vs Florida game will determine the settlement of this market. The result will be based on official game statistics and will be publicly available from established sports news sources. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy.
Several factors could influence the movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in earlier parts of the game, or even pre-game analysis suggesting a change in team dynamics, could also lead to price fluctuations. Major news stories impacting team morale or public perception could also play a role. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning the 4th quarter has the potential to move this market.