TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 3:43 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the point differential in the third quarter of a college football game between South Carolina and Florida. Outcomes depend solely on which team leads by a specific margin at the end of that quarter, reflecting potential momentum shifts during the game.
All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the third quarter of the South Carolina vs Florida college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the specified team wins the third quarter by more than the designated point margin—ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points, depending on the market. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain active and resolve according to the official third-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets are independent of the overall game outcome and consider only third-quarter performance.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often converging with sportsbook odds as the event approaches. However, differences can emerge due to varying levels of information and differing incentives between bettors on Kalshi and those using sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows for more direct probability assessment. It's common to see this market react more quickly to news and information that impacts the perceived likelihood of different outcomes, potentially leading to temporary discrepancies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the third quarter. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of expectations. The current price indicates the cost to take one side of the bet, and represents the market’s expectation of the outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the third quarter of the South Carolina vs Florida game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the governing body of college football. The market will determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the ranges defined by the contracts available on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the South Carolina or Florida teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's playing style, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, and even public sentiment expressed through polls or expert analysis, could all contribute to movement in this market before Oct 10, 2026.