TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 2:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points are scored in a specific quarter of a college football game between South Carolina and Florida. Participants predict whether the combined score will exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of difficulty for forecasting the game's intensity in that quarter.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the second quarter of the South Carolina vs Florida college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined second-quarter points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. For all markets, only points scored during the second quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, trading remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and information aggregation. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade contracts based on their own insights. It’s common to see the odds on Kalshi shift as new information emerges, potentially leading to a divergence from traditional sportsbook offerings. Examining these differences can reveal where the crowd believes sportsbooks may be over or underestimating the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 2nd quarter total. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the event occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, constantly adjusting to new information and trading activity. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total points scored in the 2nd quarter of the South Carolina vs Florida game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and used to determine whether the contracts predicting the total points settle at 100 or 0. Traders holding contracts that correctly predict the outcome will receive a payout, while those with incorrect predictions will forfeit their stake. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either South Carolina or Florida would likely cause significant movement, as this directly impacts scoring potential. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor a run-heavy or pass-heavy offense, could also shift expectations. Additionally, early performance in the first quarter of the game itself will undoubtedly influence trading activity, as traders react to the initial momentum and adjust their predictions accordingly. Unexpected coaching decisions or in-game adjustments could also play a role.