TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 4:43 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate various thresholds of points scored in the second half of a college football game between South Carolina and Florida. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring performance that must be exceeded for the market to resolve positively. The outcomes depend solely on the combined points scored after halftime, including any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams in the second half (including overtime) of the designated college football game. For each market, if the combined second-half points exceed the specified threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Postponements are handled such that if the game commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains active and resolves based on the final official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold being evaluated.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many independent traders. However, there can be differences, particularly early on, as sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception or promotional offers. As the event approaches, the prices in this market often converge with those found at sportsbooks, representing a refined estimate of the likely outcome. It’s a useful exercise to compare and contrast the two.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. Each contract represents a specific outcome for the second-half total score in the South Carolina vs Florida game. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, creating a real-time assessment of potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final second-half total score of the South Carolina vs Florida game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which contracts payout based on whether the actual second-half total falls within the ranges defined by the available contracts. Traders holding winning contracts will receive a payout of 100, minus a small fee.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the South Carolina or Florida teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also shift the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence traders' perceptions of the likely outcome. Even significant shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.