TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 4:43 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how decisively either South Carolina or Florida wins the second half of their college football matchup. Each outcome represents a different point margin threshold that must be exceeded for the market to settle positively.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the South Carolina vs Florida college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. For markets where Florida is the specified winner, the market resolves to Yes if Florida wins that half by more than the stated point margin. For markets where South Carolina is the specified winner, the market resolves to Yes if South Carolina wins that half by more than the stated point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result of the second half. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, determined under conditions not specified in these rules.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by experts. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception or biases, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It's common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook odds as new information becomes available and traders adjust their expectations. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome of the second half of the South Carolina vs Florida game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The more a particular spread is traded, the more confidence the market has in that outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to generate a highly accurate forecast for the second half spread of the South Carolina vs Florida matchup.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the second half of the South Carolina vs Florida game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the game’s governing body. The final point difference will be compared to the contract spreads offered on Kalshi to determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders holding winning contracts will receive a payout based on the market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 10, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either the South Carolina or Florida teams would likely cause significant shifts in the spread. Real-time game performance in the first half, including scoring drives and defensive stops, will also heavily impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions, coaching decisions, or even significant news regarding team morale could also contribute to price movements. Any information that alters perceptions of each team’s ability to perform in the second half will likely be reflected in the market.