TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 1:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses various scoring thresholds for the first quarter of a college football game between South Carolina and Florida. Participants predict whether the combined points scored by both teams will exceed specific numerical values by the end of the first quarter.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the first quarter of the South Carolina vs Florida college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different scoring threshold, ranging from over 2.5 points to over 27.5 points. If the combined score exceeds the specified threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Postponements are accounted for: if the game starts within 48 hours of the original time, it resolves based on the actual result. If the game does not start within this window, markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the first quarter count toward resolution.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the probability of an event. If a significant difference emerges, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling contracts on Kalshi and at a sportsbook. However, it’s crucial to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where buyers and sellers set the price of contracts. The price represents the probability of the event occurring – a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to a dynamic and real-time reflection of market sentiment. This creates a unique pricing mechanism driven by the collective intelligence of the participants.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first quarter total score of the South Carolina vs Florida game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final, official score as reported by the governing body of the game. Traders holding contracts representing the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or key player availability would likely cause significant movement. Furthermore, public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in this market.