TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 2:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first half of a college football game between South Carolina and Florida. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory, allowing participants to bet on whether the winning team will exceed that margin during the first half of play.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the South Carolina vs Florida college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team achieves a points margin exceeding the specified threshold for that market. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a large number of traders believe the spread is mispriced by sportsbooks, the price here will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news impacts perceptions of the game’s likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders can earn money by correctly anticipating the outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market constantly adjusts to new information and changing sentiment about the game.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first-half spread of the South Carolina vs Florida game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final official result announced by the governing body of college football. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will forfeit their investment. The market’s resolution is independent of any pre-game analysis or predictions.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the South Carolina or Florida teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also move the market. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also influence traders’ perceptions. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and shift the price, even without external news.