TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 10:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Marshall will win their college football game against South Alabama by more than 1.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 75.0% probability to Marshall winning by over 1.5 points, with resolution determined by the final score of the South Alabama vs Marshall game originally scheduled for October 20, 2026. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the outcome of the fixture on or shortly after the resolution date of 2026-10-21.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the South Alabama vs Marshall college football game scheduled for October 20, 2026. If South Alabama wins, markets labeled with point thresholds lower than or equal to the victory margin resolve to 'Yes'; otherwise, they resolve to 'No'. Conversely, if Marshall wins, markets labeled with point thresholds lower than or equal to Marshall's victory margin resolve to 'Yes'; otherwise, they resolve to 'No'. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve per the final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these contingency conditions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that prediction market traders have access to information or insights not fully incorporated into the sportsbook lines. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities and are subject to change.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the South Alabama vs Marshall game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the actual spread will settle at 100, while those predicting a different spread will settle at 0. The resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verifiable data to ensure a fair and accurate outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market before Oct 21, 2026. News regarding key player injuries for either South Alabama or Marshall would likely have a significant impact. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected weather forecasts could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, any major upsets in other college football games could influence overall perceptions of team strength and affect trading activity. Public polling data and expert analysis, while not directly incorporated into the market, may also contribute to price movements as traders react to new information.