TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 10:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Marshall will win its college football game against South Alabama. Currently, Kalshi gives Marshall an 85.0% probability of winning, while South Alabama is at 16.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the South Alabama vs Marshall game originally scheduled for October 20, 2026, as reported by the game’s official result. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if South Alabama wins the contest originally scheduled for October 20, 2026.
The market resolves based on the winner of the South Alabama vs Marshall college football game scheduled for October 20, 2026. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the official final result. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event, or that new information hasn’t yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It's common to see convergence as the event approaches, but differences can persist.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly, making it a real-time reflection of collective belief about the South Alabama vs Marshall game.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the South Alabama vs Marshall game, as reported by a major sports news outlet, will determine the winning contract. The platform will then verify the outcome against these sources to finalize the settlement process. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final price of that contract at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to the game. News regarding key player injuries on either the South Alabama or Marshall teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact playing conditions, could also shift probabilities. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, large trading volume from informed traders could indicate new information or a shift in sentiment, potentially causing a rapid price adjustment in this market.