TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Louisiana wins by over 10.5 points
- Kalshi
Louisiana wins by over 10.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 7, 2026
Time left: 04d:22h:42m
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This set of markets tracks the point differential in a college football game between South Alabama and Louisiana. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory, allowing participants to bet on whether the winning team will exceed that margin.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the South Alabama vs Louisiana college football game scheduled for November 7, 2026. If Louisiana wins by the exact margin specified in a market's title, that market resolves as 'No.' For markets titled 'Team X wins by over [Y] points,' a win by more than the stated margin results in a 'Yes' resolution, while a win by exactly that margin or a loss results in a 'No' resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these conditions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell contracts. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, they can create price pressure in this market, leading to a divergence. It’s common to see this market incorporate information and perspectives not fully reflected in initial sportsbook offerings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy 'yes' contracts (believing the spread will be as predicted) or 'no' contracts (believing the spread will be different). The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective forecast of all participants trading in this market, providing a real-time assessment of the likely outcome of the South Alabama vs Louisiana spread.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the South Alabama vs Louisiana game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the correct spread will settle at 100, while those predicting an incorrect spread will settle at 0. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game takes place. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the South Alabama or Louisiana teams would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also impact trading activity. Finally, significant betting action from large groups or sophisticated traders could also shift the price, as others react to their perceived insight into the likely game outcome.