TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 9:20 PM EST
Kalshi
A college football match between South Alabama and Arkansas State will see the first half's scoring determine the outcome, with the leading team at halftime securing a resolution. If the half ends in a tie, there is a distinct resolution path.
The market resolves based on the winner of the first half of the South Alabama vs Arkansas State college football game scheduled for Oct 8, 2026. If Arkansas State, South Alabama, or neither team (tie) wins the first half, the respective market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the first half count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides, while this market’s price is driven by individuals willing to buy or sell based on their own predictions. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can drive the price on Kalshi in a different direction, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing a belief in which team will win the first half. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of that outcome. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective judgment of all participants trading on Kalshi and can change rapidly based on new information or shifts in sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the first half of the South Alabama vs Arkansas State game will be declared the winner for the purposes of this market. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source, ensuring a fair and accurate determination of the winning outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either South Alabama or Arkansas State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to heavily impact the game, could also shift the market. Additionally, any significant public endorsements or analysis favoring one team over the other could influence trader behavior and move the price on Kalshi.