TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
South Africa vs. Panama
Volume:
$99,463
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Tuesday, March 31, 2026 between South Africa and Panama.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market rules contain a logical contradiction: all three possible outcomes (Panama win, Tie, South Africa win) are listed as resolving to YES, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides three separate, mutually exclusive markets with clear resolution logic for each outcome.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's markets in this group — they are logically incoherent and cannot be settled. Trade only on Polymarket's three distinct markets (South Africa win, Draw, Panama win), which have clear, mutually exclusive resolution criteria.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: All three possible match outcomes (Panama win, Tie, South Africa win) are stated to resolve to YES, creating a logical impossibility where every scenario produces the same resolution. Key quote: 'If Panama wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If South Africa wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Provides three separate, mutually exclusive markets: South Africa win resolves YES only if South Africa wins (otherwise NO); Draw resolves YES only if the match ends in a draw (otherwise NO); Panama win resolves YES only if Panama wins (otherwise NO). Each market covers exactly one outcome, with clear resolution source (FIFA official statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours). Key quote: 'If South Africa wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.