TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between Sorrento and Casertana in the Serie C league. The result will be determined based on the final score after the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The market will reflect whether Sorrento wins, Casertana wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Sorrento vs Casertana professional Serie C soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026: Sorrento win, Casertana win, or a tie. Each market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty shootout results. If the match ends in a tie after this regulation period, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Additionally, if the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. As more information becomes available and public sentiment shifts, the odds on Kalshi may converge with or diverge from sportsbook offerings. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities, especially as the event draws nearer and more volume is traded.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that as more traders believe an outcome is likely, the price of its corresponding contract will increase, and vice versa. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changes in trader sentiment, offering a real-time probability assessment of the Sorrento vs Casertana match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sorrento vs Casertana match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final, verified result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Sorrento or Casertana would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also impact trader sentiment. Even external factors like weather conditions or managerial changes could play a role, as traders react to any new information that affects the perceived probability of each team winning the Sorrento vs Casertana match.