TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:58 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Solihull and Carlisle in the English National League. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. The event covers three possible outcomes: a win for either team or a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Solihull vs Carlisle professional English National League soccer match originally scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to the possible outcomes: Solihull win, Carlisle win, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. Should the match end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform's guidelines. The resolution specifically excludes extra time and penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result at the end of regulation time.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It is common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information or changing circumstances than sportsbooks, as the price adjusts with each trade.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Solihull vs Carlisle match, as officially recorded by sporting authorities, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, relying on publicly available information to establish the definitive outcome. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the results have been verified.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Additionally, weather conditions on the day of the match, or even pre-game analysis from sports commentators, could sway trader sentiment. Public opinion, as reflected in other polls or forecasts, may also play a role, though the market is ultimately driven by traders’ willingness to buy or sell contracts based on their own assessments.