TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 8:55 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on predicting the winner of the first game in a professional League of Legends match between two teams scheduled for October 22, 2026. The outcome depends solely on which team secures victory in that specific game, regardless of the overall match result. It reflects the strategic dynamics and early-game performance of the competing teams in a high-stakes esports competition.
If Solary wins game 1 in the EMEA Masters 2026: Solary vs. Galions League of Legends match originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026 at 8:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Galions wins game 1 in the EMEA Masters 2026: Solary vs. Galions League of Legends match originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026 at 8:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a team, the odds in this market will adjust accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply the wisdom of the crowd. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence the bid-ask spread, providing insights into the ease of entering and exiting positions. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of Game 1 between Solary and Galions as determined by the event organizers. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event for any potential delays or changes that could affect the resolution timeline.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 22, 2026. Any news regarding team rosters, player injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the game’s venue or format could also have an impact. Furthermore, performance in preceding matches or recent head-to-head results could sway opinions. Even public statements from analysts or influential figures in the esports community could contribute to price movements, as traders incorporate new information into their predictions.