Solana Up or Down - April 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Core resolution logic:

• Measurement Timestamp: 5:00 PM EDT on April 25, 2026
• Data Source: CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI (official Solana/USD Real-Time Index)
• Calculation Method: Simple arithmetic average of all price observations during the 60-second window immediately preceding 5:00 PM EDT
• Resolution Trigger: Market resolves YES if the calculated 60-second average exceeds the market's specified threshold; resolves NO if it does not
• Threshold Range: 75 distinct markets cover thresholds from $47.9999 to $121.9999 in approximately $1.00 increments, with some clustering in the $100–$121 range
• No Tie-Breaking Required: Thresholds use strict greater-than logic (above X.XXXX); exact equality to threshold resolves NO

Edge cases & Clarifications:

• Data Feed Unavailability: If CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI feed is unavailable or corrupted at 5:00 PM EDT on April 25, 2026, resolution authority (Kalshi/Polymarket) must declare force majeure or use a documented fallback source (e.g., alternative CF Benchmarks publication or official exchange data). Markets should not resolve based on incomplete or unverified data.
• Exact Threshold Match: If the 60-second average equals the threshold exactly (e.g., $50.0000 for a $49.9999 threshold), the market resolves NO because the condition requires the price to be strictly above the threshold.
• Polymarket Rule Absence: Polymarket provides no detailed resolution rules for this event group. If Polymarket hosts a corresponding market, traders should verify its specific terms directly with Polymarket or assume it mirrors Kalshi's methodology pending official clarification.
• Time Zone Ambiguity: All timestamps reference EDT (Eastern Daylight Time). Traders must confirm that April 25, 2026 observes EDT (not EST) and that 5:00 PM EDT is correctly converted to their local time zone.
• Rounding and Precision: CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI prices are assumed to be reported with at least 4 decimal places. If the feed reports fewer decimals, the simple average calculation may introduce rounding artifacts; resolution authority should clarify rounding rules in advance.