TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 9:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in the Danish Superliga between two teams. The result will be determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. Markets will reflect whether one team wins outright or if the game ends level.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Soenderjyske vs Silkeborg Danish Superliga match scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Soenderjyske, a win for Silkeborg, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regulation time, the corresponding market settles to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regulation, the Tie market settles to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or postponed by more than 48 hours from its original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's standard procedures. The resolution excludes extra time and penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result at the end of regular time including stoppage minutes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of traders on Kalshi. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Kalshi will shift accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis, making this market a potentially valuable signal.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Danish Superliga match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the event's outcome and capitalizing on any mispricing. As more trades occur, the prices converge to reflect the collective belief of the traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Danish Superliga match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome. The market will settle based on which team wins or if the match ends in a draw. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions for either Soenderjyske or Silkeborg could significantly shift the odds. Furthermore, updates on weather conditions, which might affect the style of play, and even public sentiment based on pre-match analysis and commentary could all contribute to price movements. Strong betting activity on Kalshi itself, driven by informed traders, can also cause substantial shifts before Oct 18, 2026.