TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista
⌛Ending Soon
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of São Paulo FC vs SC Corinthians Paulista?

Total volume:
$1,482
Volume 24h:
$805
764%
Liquidity:
$26,140
109%
Open interest:
$961
327%

Sao Paulo

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 4, 2026

Time left: 01d:23h:27m

Sao Paulo wins

43%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 42¢ buys you 238 shares | Odds: 43% Total Payout: $238 | Net Profit: $138 Multiplier: 2.38x | ROI: 138% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Sao Paulo

Trade
43%
1%
Yes 42¢No 58.5¢
0.5¢
N/A
$866
256%
N/A
$649
1d 23h 27m
Active
polymarket

São Paulo FC

42%
1%
Yes 42¢No 59¢
1¢
$7,307
$168
26%
N/A
N/A
1d 20h 27m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
42.3%
Yes 42¢No 58.7¢
Avg: 0.8¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Tie

31%
Yes 30.5¢No 70.5¢
1¢
N/A
$32
5%
N/A
$32
1d 23h 27m
Active
polymarket

Draw (São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista)

31%
1%
Yes 31¢No 70¢
1¢
$10,141
$50
0%
N/A
N/A
1d 20h 27m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
30.7%
Yes 30.8¢No 70.2¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Corinthians

29%
Yes 29¢No 71.5¢
0.5¢
N/A
$317
54%
N/A
$280
1d 23h 27m
Active
polymarket

SC Corinthians Paulista

28%
3%
Yes 29¢No 72¢
1¢
$8,693
$49
242%
N/A
N/A
1d 20h 27m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
28.9%
Yes 29¢No 71.8¢
Avg: 0.8¢Max: 1¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of the São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for November 4, 2026. Markets ask whether São Paulo, Corinthians, or a draw will occur, all within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket focuses on individual team wins and has a specific cancellation rule, while Kalshi offers separate markets for each team and a draw, with no explicit cancellation resolution stated.Hero tip: Consider the differing cancellation rules when trading. Kalshi's markets may remain open if the game is postponed, while Polymarket resolves 'No' if the game is canceled entirely.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Focuses on São Paulo FC winning. Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. "If São Paulo FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No"."
  • Kalshi: Offers separate markets for São Paulo, Corinthians, and a draw winning after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Resolves 'Yes' for any of these outcomes. "If Sao Paulo wins... the market resolves to Yes. If Corinthians wins... the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result... the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Wednesday, November 4, 2026 between São Paulo FC and SC Corinthians Paulista.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Sao Paulo versus Corinthians professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for November 4, 2026. A win for Sao Paulo after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties) resolves the 'Sao Paulo' market to Yes. A win for Corinthians under the same conditions resolves the 'Corinthians' market to Yes. If the match concludes in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the secondary rules. The contest exclusively considers the result after normal playing time, with no account for extended periods or penalty shootouts.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the São Paulo vs. Corinthians match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $1,482, with $808 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of potential results, reflecting the collective predictions of market participants. The dashboard displays the probabilities as implied by the trading activity on each platform, offering a comprehensive look at expectations for the match. It’s a valuable tool for understanding where the crowd stands on the likely winner of this contest.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while prediction markets rely on the wisdom of the crowd. This market’s odds reflect what participants believe will happen, incentivized by potential financial gain from accurate predictions. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, especially when a large and informed trading volume exists. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and may offer different value depending on individual assessment.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons, even when tracking the same event. Differences in user base, trading volume, and market design all contribute to price discrepancies. Polymarket currently favors Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-11-04? at 41.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Sao Paulo wins at 42.5%. Furthermore, each platform attracts different types of traders, some more informed than others, leading to varying interpretations of available information. These factors combine to create independent price discovery processes, resulting in potentially different odds for the São Paulo vs. Corinthians match.

This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the São Paulo vs. Corinthians match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine the winning outcome for this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.

Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market. News regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes could significantly shift expectations. Major upsets in other matches involving these teams could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might also play a role. Any significant public statements from coaches or key players could also move the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on changing probabilities before Nov 5, 2026.