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São Paulo FC vs. EC Vitória - More Markets
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of São Paulo FC vs EC Vitória?

Volume:
$169,249

Over 2.5 goals scored

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 10:07 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$41,315
N/A
N/A
$26,389
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,833
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 1.5

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,444
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,178
N/A
N/A
$4,272
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5

View
100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,684
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 0.5

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,406
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,337
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 0.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,521
N/A
N/A
$1,143
Settled
Yes
polymarket

São Paulo FC O/U 1.5

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,861
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams to Score

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,552
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

São Paulo FC O/U 0.5

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$929
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams to Score in First Half

View
100%
83%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$132
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

EC Vitória O/U 0.5

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,131
N/A
N/A
$16,562
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 3.5

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,577
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,466
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,256
N/A
N/A
$3,582
Settled
No
polymarket

São Paulo FC (-1.5)

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,451
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

EC Vitória (-1.5)

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,202
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1st Half O/U 2.5

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,633
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,654
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 5.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,385
N/A
N/A
$1,246
Settled
No
polymarket

São Paulo FC (-2.5)

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,145
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

EC Vitória O/U 2.5

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 6.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$952
N/A
N/A
$952
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 67

Description

This prediction group covers a variety of markets related to the Brazil Série A soccer match between São Paulo FC and EC Vitória. Markets include spread betting, over/under goals, and both teams to score, both for the entire match and for the first half. The markets are designed to predict the outcome of the game based on official statistics.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets focus exclusively on goals scored within the standard 90-minute match time, while Polymarket considers a broader range of scenarios and has a fallback resolution process.Hero tip: Consider the potential for discrepancies in settlement due to the differing scope of resolution criteria. Kalshi's markets are more narrowly defined.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on official statistics from cbf.com.br, with fallback sources (Flashscore, Sofascore) and a 24-hour data availability window. 50/50 resolution for cancellations. "This market will resolve according to the official final score published on cbf.com.br."
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on goals scored after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. No mention of fallback sources or cancellation handling. "If over 0.5 goals are scored... after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

More markets for the Brazil Série A game, scheduled for October 10 at 8:00 PM ET.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the total number of goals scored during the Sao Paulo versus Vitoria professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026. The resolution occurs after the full 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5. If the actual number of goals exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent, and each has its own resolution criterion. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates forecasts on the São Paulo vs. Vitória match, specifically tracking the probability of various outcomes related to the game. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $169,249, with $165,782 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard provides a consensus view of predictions, allowing you to see where the crowd believes the most likely results lie. Polymarket currently favors São Paulo FC O/U 0.5 at 98 percent, while Kalshi has no top market available. This allows for a comparative analysis of market sentiment.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit, while prediction markets incentivize accurate forecasting. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more efficient at incorporating new information quickly, potentially resulting in more accurate probabilities. However, sportsbooks often offer a wider range of betting options than are available in this market.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structure, all of which can influence price discovery. Differences in liquidity – the volume of trading activity – can also lead to price discrepancies. Furthermore, the specific market design on each platform, such as the available outcomes and the way they are defined, can attract different types of traders and impact the resulting odds. Currently, Polymarket currently favors São Paulo FC O/U 0.5 at 98 percent, while Kalshi leans toward Will over 5.5 goals be scored? at n/a percent.