TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:47 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between São Paulo FC and CR Vasco da Gama, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "São Paulo FC" if São Paulo FC score more goals than CR Vasco da Gama in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if São Paulo FC and CR Vasco da Gama score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CR Vasco da Gama" if CR Vasco da Gama score more goals than São Paulo FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between São Paulo FC and CR Vasco da Gama, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "São Paulo FC" if São Paulo FC score more goals than CR Vasco da Gama in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if São Paulo FC and CR Vasco da Gama score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CR Vasco da Gama" if CR Vasco da Gama score more goals than São Paulo FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome in the second half. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. Higher demand for shares in a specific outcome will drive up its price, indicating a stronger belief among traders that it will happen. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on which team wins the second half of the São Paulo vs. Vasco match. Official sources will be used to determine the winner, and the market will settle accordingly. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and objective, ensuring that the correct outcome is reflected in the market's final settlement. Traders should monitor official results following the match's conclusion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team tactics could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially favoring one team over the other. Furthermore, in-game events during the first half, such as early goals or red cards, will likely cause rapid price adjustments. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments is crucial for understanding potential market movements.