TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:45 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between São Paulo FC and CR Vasco da Gama, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the São Paulo FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between São Paulo FC and CR Vasco da Gama, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the São Paulo FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores in the São Paulo vs. Vasco match. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of occurring. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing beliefs among traders.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the São Paulo vs. Vasco match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score determined by official sources will be used to determine the winning shares in this market. Any disputes regarding the official result will be resolved based on widely accepted sports data providers. The outcome will be based on the official match result, as reported by the governing football league.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late injury reports for key players on either São Paulo FC or CR Vasco da Gama would likely cause significant shifts in probabilities. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain, could also impact the expected scoreline and influence trading. Unexpected tactical decisions announced by either manager before the match could also move the market. Finally, any significant news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could also affect traders’ perceptions and lead to price adjustments.