This event group covers a Danish Superliga match between Sønderjyske Fodbold and Odense BK scheduled for March 1, 2026. Polymarket offers three separate binary markets (Odense win, draw, Sønderjyske win), while Kalshi offers a single three-outcome market covering all possible results. Both platforms resolve based on the 90-minute regulation time plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Polymarket's cancellation logic creates a logical contradiction: if the game is canceled with no make-up, the draw market resolves Yes while both win markets resolve No, violating the mutual exclusivity of the three outcomes. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation guidance, creating ambiguity.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Polymarket draw market without explicit platform confirmation that cancellation-to-Yes is intentional. This violates standard sports betting logic. On Kalshi, clarify whether a canceled match with no reschedule resolves to Tie or remains unresolved. The market structures are fundamentally incompatible.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Odense win, draw, Sønderjyske win). Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no make-up resolves Odense and Sønderjyske markets to No, but draw market to Yes. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes"' (draw market only).
Kalshi: Single three-outcome market covering Sønderjyske win, Odense win, or Tie, all resolved after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided in source data; resolution protocol for canceled matches is absent.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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