TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A Danish Superliga professional soccer match between Sønderjyske Fodbold and Aarhus GF scheduled for March 15, 2026. Three related markets cover the possible outcomes: a draw, a Sønderjyske win, or an Aarhus win, all evaluated within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi employ identical resolution logic: match outcome determined within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, official Superliga statistics as primary source, consistent postponement and cancellation handling across all three outcome markets.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from the Danish Superliga (superligaen.dk) as recognized by the governing body or event organizers; credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion.Core resolution logic:
- Match outcome is determined by the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded.
- Draw market resolves Yes if match ends in a draw, No otherwise; resolves Yes if match is canceled with no makeup game.
- Sønderjyske win market resolves Yes if Sønderjyske wins, No otherwise; resolves No if match is canceled with no makeup game.
- Aarhus win market resolves Yes if Aarhus wins, No otherwise; resolves No if match is canceled with no makeup game.
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date.
- Match Cancellation Without Makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, the draw market resolves Yes and both win markets (Sønderjyske and Aarhus) resolve No.
- Delayed Official Statistics: If official Superliga statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may proceed using consensus from credible reporting sources.
- Extra Time and Penalties: Resolution is based only on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from consideration.
Timing:
Resolution occurs within 2 hours after the match concludes on March 15, 2026, or via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed beyond 2 hours.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.