TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 2:28 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Smyrnov Mykyta and Mitla Oleksii in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for September 29 at 6:15PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Smyrnov Mykyta' if Smyrnov Mykyta wins against Mitla Oleksii. This market will resolve to 'Mitla Oleksii' if Mitla Oleksii wins against Smyrnov Mykyta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Smyrnov Mykyta and Mitla Oleksii in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for September 29 at 6:15PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Smyrnov Mykyta' if Smyrnov Mykyta wins against Mitla Oleksii. This market will resolve to 'Mitla Oleksii' if Mitla Oleksii wins against Smyrnov Mykyta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while this market represents the probability assigned by traders willing to put their capital at risk. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. It’s important to analyze both to form a well-rounded perspective on the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Smyrnov vs. Mitla match.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Smyrnov vs. Mitla match, as determined by the governing sports organization. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result of this competition.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 6, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either Smyrnov or Mitla would likely cause significant movement. Changes in their recent performance, announcements about their training regimens, or even shifts in public perception could also impact trading activity. Unexpected upsets in related matches, or even weather conditions if the match is outdoors, might also prompt traders to reassess their predictions, leading to fluctuations in the market price.