TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 1:07 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Smyrnov Mykyta and Lazebnyi Ruslan in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 6 at 9:15PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Smyrnov Mykyta' if Smyrnov Mykyta wins against Lazebnyi Ruslan. This market will resolve to 'Lazebnyi Ruslan' if Lazebnyi Ruslan wins against Smyrnov Mykyta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Smyrnov Mykyta and Lazebnyi Ruslan in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 6 at 9:15PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Smyrnov Mykyta' if Smyrnov Mykyta wins against Lazebnyi Ruslan. This market will resolve to 'Lazebnyi Ruslan' if Lazebnyi Ruslan wins against Smyrnov Mykyta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as traders react to news and analysis, constantly adjusting the probabilities reflected in the share prices. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of its participants.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Smyrnov vs. Lazebnyi match, as reported by an authoritative source. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in the market's settlement data on Polymarket. The platform will then distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result based on their share holdings at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the players' form or any controversies surrounding the match are also likely to cause price fluctuations. Major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, could also drive trading activity and move the market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the odds on Polymarket.