TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 6:40 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Smyrnov Mykyta and Kovalchuk Nazarii in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 3 at 10:05AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Smyrnov Mykyta' if Smyrnov Mykyta wins against Kovalchuk Nazarii. This market will resolve to 'Kovalchuk Nazarii' if Kovalchuk Nazarii wins against Smyrnov Mykyta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Smyrnov Mykyta and Kovalchuk Nazarii in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 3 at 10:05AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Smyrnov Mykyta' if Smyrnov Mykyta wins against Kovalchuk Nazarii. This market will resolve to 'Kovalchuk Nazarii' if Kovalchuk Nazarii wins against Smyrnov Mykyta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the event. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, potentially offering more efficient odds. Analyzing both can provide a more comprehensive view of the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective prediction. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is determined by its share price relative to the total pool of funds in the market.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Smyrnov vs. Kovalchuk match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders who held shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution. The exact payout will depend on the total volume traded and the price of the winning shares.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in coaching strategy could significantly impact predictions. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in public sentiment, might also contribute to price movements. Major announcements related to the event’s scheduling or location could also play a role. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves as the event draws closer.