TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Syracuse will win the college football game against SMU by more than 1.5 points. Currently, the probability of Syracuse winning by over 1.5 points on Kalshi is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the SMU vs Syracuse game, with resolution details found in the provided resolution source. Participants should closely watch the game itself on October 31, 2026, as the final score will determine whether Syracuse exceeds the 1.5-point margin needed for a ‘Yes’ resolution.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the SMU vs Syracuse college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. If SMU wins by exceeding the specified margin, the corresponding "SMU wins by over X points" market resolves to Yes; if Syracuse wins by exceeding its specified margin, the relevant "Syracuse wins by over X points" market resolves to Yes. Markets are void if the game is not started within 48 hours of its original schedule time, at which point they resolve to a fair price. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours, all markets remain active and resolve based on the final result.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance betting action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to express their beliefs about the game's outcome, which can lead to odds that diverge from traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information becomes available. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to impactful news than traditional betting venues.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the SMU vs Syracuse football game. The market will settle to 100 if the actual point difference falls within the range of the purchased contract, and to 0 otherwise. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to the game. Key injuries to star players on either the SMU or Syracuse teams would likely cause significant shifts in the spread. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the game and, consequently, the market. Finally, any significant news regarding team morale, coaching changes, or player suspensions could all contribute to movement in this market.