TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 12:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game. It includes scenarios where either team scores first or if no touchdown is scored at all during the game, including overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on the game's live progression and scoring events.
The event determines whether SMU, Syracuse, or neither team scores the first touchdown in their college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. All touchdowns—including offensive, defensive, and special teams plays—are counted, even if they occur in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains active and resolves based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves at a fair price. The markets are independent of any official NCAA affiliation, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or focus on public perception, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the odds on Kalshi will adjust, potentially converging with or diverging from sportsbook odds. It’s common to see prediction markets as a more accurate reflection of true probabilities, especially closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, either SMU or Syracuse scoring the first touchdown. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices will shift, creating opportunities for arbitrage and speculation. The market depth and order book are visible on the platform, providing transparency into the trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scored the first touchdown in the SMU vs Syracuse game. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data. Any disputes regarding the outcome will be evaluated based on publicly available information and established sports rules. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either SMU or Syracuse would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact the passing or running game, could also be a catalyst. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, public sentiment and betting patterns observed in sportsbooks could indirectly influence trading activity on Kalshi, leading to price fluctuations.