TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 2:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either SMU or Syracuse specifically within the third quarter of their scheduled college football game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team during that quarter alone.
These markets resolve based on the point differential achieved by either SMU or Syracuse exclusively during the third quarter of their college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the specified team must win that quarter by more than the stated point margin. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the third quarter, disregarding any points from other quarters. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result of that quarter. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's ultimate status.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often providing a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as the event approaches. While sportsbooks may incorporate biases or limitations in their modeling, this market aggregates the insights of numerous traders. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes influence early trading in prediction markets. It’s important to note that discrepancies can arise due to differing market participants and the unique dynamics of each venue. Examining both sources can provide a well-rounded perspective.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final third-quarter spread of the SMU vs Syracuse game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of college football. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their contracts align with the actual spread at the end of the third quarter. It’s important to monitor news and official sources as the game progresses to understand potential impacts on the market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the SMU or Syracuse teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams' strengths and weaknesses could lead to adjustments in the market price. Unexpected developments during the first and second quarters of the game itself will also heavily influence the market.