TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 1:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score more points in a specific quarter of a college football game between SMU and Syracuse. It highlights the competitive dynamics of the game by zooming in on a single quarter's performance, rather than the overall result.
If Syracuse wins the 2nd quarter of the SMU vs Syracuse college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If SMU wins the 2nd quarter of the SMU vs Syracuse college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd quarter of the SMU vs Syracuse college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying levels of engagement from bettors versus prediction market participants. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing each outcome. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top outcome, as indicated by contract prices, is Syracuse wins the 2nd quarter, though this can change rapidly with new trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the 2nd quarter of the SMU vs Syracuse game will be declared the winner of this market. The resolution will be based on the official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Trading will cease once the outcome is known and officially verified, and contracts will be settled accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could impact perceived probabilities. Unexpected performance in the first quarter of the game would likely cause significant shifts in the market. Public sentiment, as reflected by social media and expert analysis, can also play a role, though the market ultimately reflects the collective decisions of traders on Kalshi. A late surge in betting activity on one team could also create notable price fluctuations.