TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 1:46 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first half of an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific margin by which either team could win the first half, allowing participants to bet on various possible outcomes.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the SMU vs Syracuse college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team exceeds the specified point margin outlined in each individual market. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official first-half result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, determined independently of the actual game outcome. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate differing opinions on the likelihood of a particular result. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the first half spread for the SMU vs Syracuse game. The final score difference will be compared to the spread to determine which side of the market is the winner. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either SMU or Syracuse would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team morale or coaching decisions could shift expectations and affect the price. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, may also play a role, though this market represents independent trader views.